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[Secret] Response to the Oil Embargo Part 2: Retaliation, Covert and Chaotic
While overt operations will play a role in the retaliation, some more covert ones are needed. For these more... illegal... operations, we will have to take a different approach. North Korea: Cyberwar, Inc. North Korea has a well-established cyberwar capability and has recently begun selling its services to third parties. One of those third parties is about to become us, and we're going to buy out the entire shop, consisting of thousands of highly trained North Korean hackers. Are they the best, no, of course not--they are, after all, still North Korean. They certainly aren't as good as what we have in-house, even though they're surprisingly skilled all things considered. But they're extra talent, and talent with no official connections to China, and that's what counts here. At whatever exorbitant price that North Korea charges [we've budgeted up to $500 million, and they will get to keep whatever they steal] we're siccing every trained hacker they have on what we view as the mastermind behind these plots, the United Arab Emirates [M: Even though we don't know the contents of the closed diplo, it's not hard to come to that conclusion given that Saudi Arabia is in a civil war, the UAE leads the GCC which is leading the embargo, and it has rejected our peace offerings and stated that we are an existential threat--also, assaulting the UAE is likely to spook the other participants who are in a much more frail situation]. Attacks will aim to be diverse and encompass the entire spectrum, with one exception, which we will do. Chinese experts will provide advice and limited intelligence and cyber-reconnaissance, but will not openly involve themselves in the operations, taking especial care to ensure that they don't touch the code the North Koreans are working on. We will maintain only a very high-level management, leaving precise means, targets, and so on to the North Koreans. In addition, we'll ask the North Koreans to recruit criminal hacker groups across the globe to join on to this effort, with the North Koreans receiving additional payouts for every other criminal hacking group they bring onboard that has been verified by Chinese intelligence as actually existing [we don't trust the North Koreans that much, especially when money is on the line]. Targets are the following, in order of priority: UAE Foreign Exchange Reserves and Sovereign Wealth Fund: By far the most valuable target on the list for North Korea, the UAE's forex reserves are worth about $100 billion, and the sovereign wealth funds of the Emirates are valued at as much as $1 trillion. North Korean hackers will launch an all-out assault aiming to steal as much of this money as possible, destroying it if they must but, we imagine, preferably transferring it to North Korean accounts. Attacks via SWIFT like those conducted by North Korea in 2015-16 are possible--those attacks amounted to hundreds of millions of dollars in losses. We doubt that North Korea will be able to steal that much of this pile, especially given the fact that the UAE has an army of ex-Western cyberwarriors of its own, but even a relatively small quantity would be a significant psychological injury and would degrade global trust in the UAE. Vital Infrastructure: North Korea will target key pieces of infrastructure in the UAE. In particular, they will target the following facilities and attempt to force them offline. Even though the individual attacks won't do much damage, the cumulative impact will scare the public, damage investor confidence, and drive money out of the UAE.
Dubai International Airport
All 8 desalination plants, the only source of potable water in the UAE [top target]
UAE High-speed rail [as this system uses Chinese software the North Koreans will happen to find a copy of the source code to work this one over]
Barakah Nuclear Power Plant [as this system uses South Korean software North Korea may have added experience with it]
Ruwais Refinery, capacity 400,000 barrels of oil per day, the largest in the UAE
Influential Figures And Government Officials: North Korean hackers will also target the personal devices of government officials and influential figures in the UAE, especially politicians, military commanders, and media types. They will then leak anything remotely incriminating to the global media, possibly via Wikileaks or another such site of ill repute. In addition, for particularly important government officials, North Korea will be commissioned to produce deepfakes with which it will flood social media. These will mostly focus on baseless conspiracy theories and personal slanders, for instance, catching a top official on mike confessing to being a devil-worshiper, or portraying a popular imam as being with Western prostitutes. It is hoped that these operations will cause enough domestic trouble in the UAE that they will concede on the point of the oil embargo. If nothing else, though, they should keep the UAE distracted while we move elsewhere.
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Blowout and fire in Iran 1974. My fifth day in the oilfield.
In 1974 SEDCO had a trainee program for college graduates to enter the drilling business working on the rigs to eventually become toolpushers and rig managers. I had graduated from The University of Texas a year earlier with a business degree and was working with my father running an Exxon owned service station and car wash. I liked working outside and with equipment so when I heard about Sedco hiring I signed up. My friend and college roommate, Dennis Welborn also signed up. This was September- October 1974 and after a 2 week course at Odessa College our group of 40 trainees were sent overseas. Half went to Aberdeen, Scotland to work offshore 14/14 in the North Sea, and the rest went to Ahwaz, Iran working 14/7 on land rigs. We flew into Abadan Iran landing late one night and were taken by car to the base in Ahwaz. Next morning we had some orientation and were split up and sent to various rigs all over South Iran. Bob Burnett and myself were assigned Rig 77 in Agha Jari field. A driver took us across the desert towards a raised hilly plateau which was atop the oilfield. We went to the portable rig camp, were assigned a shared room, and got ready to start the 12 hour workday the next morning. We rode with the crew towards our rig about 2 miles away and passed between a rig on one side of the road and some engines and pumps on the other side. Our driller said that the Santa Fe Drilling rig had a blowout after drilling too deep before setting casing without a diverter stack. He said it was flowing gas and a lot of condensate uncontrolled. They had even removed some of the equipment as it was not going to be killed very easily. We passed by it the next few days and then I was put on night tour with my Driller, a Canadian named Charlie Staroba. Charlie was a good guy and easy to get along with. Eighteen months later I was a very green driller working for him as he was promoted to tour pusher on Sediran Rig 11. That first night Charlie told me to go help change a piston on Mud Pump no. 2 . About 7 PM I was on top of the pump bent over trying to understand what the Iranian crew was doing when Charlie called down to get my attention. I looked up and that rig about a mile away was on fire. That was pretty much the focus of the rest of our tour. Just watching it burn. The fire spread quickly down and through the hills catching all of that week's worth of flowed condensate on fire. Within an hour half the world in front of me was burning with flames going very high and getting closer to us. I distinctly remember saying to myself " what did I get myself into ?" About 9 PM we were thinking we might have to evacuate . A OSCO pickup drove up and Bill Murchison Sr. got out, introduced himself and took over our small toolpusher office and radio room. He started the 2 month process to bring in Red Adair's team, rig up 2 rigs to drill directional relief wells, and eventually kill the blowout. Charlie and I got off work at 6AM and on the way to our camp drove right up to the burning rig with the mast laid over and took pictures of each other. I have attached the pictures here. We spent the rest of 1974 drilling our wells and helping to support the blowout killing operation with whatever they asked for. I got to meet Boots Hansen and Coots Mathews, they liked the food in our camp. I eventually realized I liked the drilling business and made a 40 year career of it. I worked up to Driller , Toolpusher, OIM, Rig and Operations Manager of land and offshore operations with Sedco Forex Schlumberger, Pride International, and Weatherford Drilling. I spent 35 years working international, 17 years of that as a resident. I retired in 2014 as a Sr. Country Manager, resident in Dubai and now am a Well Control Instructor at Intertek in Spring, Tx. I show this picture and get to tell this and other stories in my classes. It has been an interesting career and I enjoyed it and the people I met and friends I made. https://preview.redd.it/gti5o754nwe11.png?width=864&format=png&auto=webp&s=8c75ffd708211b6f4f2bc356b0e167189fa48d70
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